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El Nino
Is El Nino back? The National Weather Service says YES! The
last El Nino peaked in December of 1997. It was considered a very
strong El Nino. This El Nino is not expected to be strong but still
weather patterns will be affected. The whys and hows of the El Nino phenomenon is the
subject of this month's WeatherMania.
P.S. All WeatherManias are now online. Click here to view!
Learn for Tomorrow,
What is El
Nino?
According to NOAA, the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
"El Niño is a disruption of the ocean-atmosphere system in the Tropical
Pacific having important consequences for weather and climate around the
globe."
El Nino is Spanish for "the little boy". In
this case because the conditions that accompany El Nino are seen
around the end of December, the name used is that given in Peru to the
"Christ Child".
Fishermen along the coast
of Peru have known for centuries that warm water replaces the
normal cooler waters during the first months of every
year. Occasionally, the warm water appears earlier, around Christmastime, and stays longer,
for even a year or two. This change in water
temperature also brings rain to the usually arid region. Sometimes
too much. And the warm waters are not good for fishing. The
cooler, better fishing waters are held away from the coast and fishermen have to go
much farther to the west to find the cooler waters that mean good
fishing. Entries about El Nino appear in many ship's logs as
early as the 1500's.
Approximately 25 years
ago, climatologists began to correlate the oceanic temperature and wind
direction changes with changes in weather
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El Nino Event -
Red Indicates
Warmest
Temperatures |
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| patterns over
time. They also noticed that there was a definite change back to
normal where the waters became cooler and the fish returned to the shores
of Peru. At other times, the water becomes cooler than normal.
Because this phenomenon is somewhat the opposite of the El Nino
changes, the time of abnormally cool water has come to be known
as La Nina or "little girl".
The El Nino/La
Nina phenomenon is known scientifically as ENSO or El Nino- Southern
Oscillation. Warm Trade Winds normally blow east to west across
the Southern Pacific. These winds push warm waters westward away from
the shores of South America. This causes the deeper, cold waters
underneath to rise to the surface (convection) carrying with them the
microscopic plants and animals that fish use as foodsources. The cool
waters provide abundant fishing for Peruvian fishermen. During a
non El Nino year, the warm waters around Indonesia and Australia rise
in both height and temperature causing heavy rains that are normal for the
region. Hot air over hot water causes evaporation. The warm,
humid air rises and cools producing clouds and precipitation. Warmer
water and air produce greater amounts of rainfall.
Some
years the Trade Winds relax or even move west to east so that warm
water is pushed eastward toward South America. The cool waters do
not rise and
|
Normal
Temperatures |
 |
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Courtesy
NOAA | the fish do not
come to feed. This is an El Nino event.
The effects are much farther reaching than just in Peru.
In an El Nino event, the rains occur farther East than normal and may cause
flooding. The warm water has been pushed eastward leaving the
western Pacific in a drought situation. In the
U.S., temperatures in the winter are warmer than normal in the North
Central States, and cooler than normal in the Southeast and the Southwest
in an El Nino event. During La Nina, the cooler waters move farther
westward, winter temperatures are warmer than normal in the Southeast and
cooler than normal in the Northwest areas of the
U.S.
| La Nina Event- Red Indicates Warmest
Temperatures |
|

|
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Courtesy
NOAA |
These events also have an effect on the Hurricane Season
which lasts from June through November. During an El Nino year, the
number and intensity of Atlantic and Caribbean hurricanes is
diminished. This year's El Nino is not as strong as the El Nino of
1997 but it has strengthened according to the National Weather Service and
is expected to affect the hurricanes in September and October.
This El Nino is predicted to last into early 2003 so we could have a
wetter winter in the South, Southwest and the East Coast. The Upper
Midwest could be warmer and the Great Lakes drier than in normal
years. Only time will tell.
Joking About the
Weather
Question: How did you find the weather on your
vacation?
Answer: I just walked outside and there it
was!
Weather Activity
Produce your own El Nino
Event
When hot air meets hot
water?
-
Fill a cup or glass with cold water and another with hot
water. Not boiling, just hot from the faucet.
-
Hold one of your hands above each cup or glass. How does
the air above each cup feel?
-
Leave your hands above the glasses for a minute. Now feel the
palms of your hands. Does one feel wetter than the other?
Which one?
Conclusions: The air above
the glass with the hot water will feel warmer than the air above the cold
water. We see that hot water produces hot air above the water.
You also find that the hand you held above the warm
water feels wetter than your other hand. We see that water molecules
from warm water evaporate into the air causing moist, warm
air.
Now think about a huge area of ocean that is so
warm that the air above it is heated and becomes moist. That moist
air rises and condenses forming clouds which produce precipitation -
sometimes a lot of it. The tropical Pacific Ocean during an El Nino
event acts much the same way. As the warm water flows eastward into
areas that usually have cool water, more rain than usual
occurs.
Weather Wizard
Trade Winds The winds that occupy most of the tropics and
blow from the subtropical highs to the equatorial
low.
Tropical The parts of the earth between 20°N and
20°S latitude with very hot and humid conditions and
temperatures greater than 65°F and rain most of the
year.
Water Vapor Water in a vapor (gaseous) form;
also referred to as atmospheric moisture. Water vapor is one of the most
important parts of the atmosphere.
Weather Trivia
An El Nino or ENSO event in the Pacific Ocean causes which of the following conditions?
- The number and intensity of Atlantic hurricanes is diminished
- Warm water lingers off the Pacific coasts of Peru and Ecuador
- Winter temperatures are warmer than normal in the North Central United States
- All of the above
Answer: All of the above.
The effects of El Nino are far-reaching and cause weather events all over the world, not just along the edge of the Pacific.
Did You Know?
El Nino affects not only the fishing industry, but the fertilizer industry in South America. When the cold-water zones off the coast of Peru and Ecuador warm during an El Nino event, the fish stay further out to sea. Because of this, the birds who normally feed on these fish leave the area also. Bird guano is an important component of the region's fertilizer industry.
Trainer's Corner
It seemed a good idea to repeat this activity
for anyone who may have missed the June issue in which it originally
appeared. This is a great way to approach an El Nino study
that could last all year.
Choose school sites from around the U.S. to complete the table
below. This is a suggestion for setting up a chart to collect
weather information for an El Nino study. Gathering information for
this entire school year will give you the best analysis, but you
can revise the chart to fit your own study. You may wish
to record the weather information on a monthly basis or even
everyday.
Averages/Normal Weather
Conditions:
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Average Precipitation |
Avg Temps. (High/Low) |
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Location |
December |
January |
December |
January |
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Northwest |
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West (California) |
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SouthEast (Florida) |
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SouthWest |
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Upper MidWest (Montana) |
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MidWest (Kansas) |
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Gulf Coast (New Orleans) |
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Great Lakes |
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East Coast |
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If you would like more information about AWS Professional Development , contact Diana at ddell@aws.com.
Tech Corner
Keeping the Weather
Station Mast Secure
On
June 11th, 2002, after 5 years of hibernation, El Nino once again popped
his head out predicting months of unusual weather. The Gulf Coast from Louisiana to
Florida will experience a wetter than normal winter. There will be more East Coast
winter storms and a drier than normal fall and winter in the Pacific
Northwest.
The
last El Nino event, in 1997-1998, was responsible for the loss of 189
lives and 2.8 billion dollars in damage. But El Nino was not entirely
negative. It did result in
6.7 billion dollars saved in reduced heating costs. Lack of data has made it difficult
for scientists to evaluate the enormous effects of El
Nino.
For
this reason, it’s important to have your weather station properly
installed and secured in order to responsibly report through the long
months of El Nino conditions.
As
far as maintenance of the weather station itself, there is in reality
little that needs to be maintained other than occasionally cleaning the
rain gauge. However, it is a
good idea to check that the mast holding the sensors is securely anchored
and that the data cable is protected by conduit where it is outside the
building.
With greater technology we will be able to collect
sufficient data enhance our understanding of the powerful phenomenon known
as El Nino.
Sunny
Days!
Technical
Support

If you would like additional technical support
information, email support@aws.com
.
Oceanographer
Oceanography is
the study of oceans. It involves many areas of science including
physics, chemistry, biology or geology and more
recently computers as well as mathematics. There are many different types
of oceanographers who study different parts of the ocean and the effect
those parts have on each other and our environment on land.
Physical Oceanographers are the
Ocean's weathermen and women. They primarily study the physical aspects of
the ocean including temperature, density, wave motions, tides, currents
and salinity (how salty it is). They also study the relationship between
the ocean and the atmosphere and try to predict (based on their findings)
the effects these factors will have on our climate. These oceanographers
play a large role in studying the phenomena of El Nino and La
Nina.
Marine Biologists study the plants
and animals that live in the oceans. Chemical Oceanographers study the
chemical composition of seawater and its interaction with the atmosphere
and the seafloor. A Geological Oceanographer studies the ocean floor
and tries to map geological structures like mountains and trenches. A Computer
Modeler produces the models, using computer technology, that attempt to
demonstrate the physical and chemical changes taking place in the
ocean.
Students interested in pursuing a
career in oceanography should have a strong math and science background.
They should plan on majoring in math or one of the major scientific fields
as an undergraduate and then pursuing a Masters Degree or a Doctorate
focusing on oceanography. The federal government, colleges and
universities and private industries, most often employ oceanographers.
Oceanographers can expect to spend much of their time at sea or in a
laboratory.
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