Septemeber 20, 2002 :  26th Edition

 

 

 

 

 

 

September 20,2002
Special Edition

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El Nino

Is El Nino back?  The National Weather Service says YES!  The last El Nino peaked in December of 1997.  It was considered a very strong El Nino.  This El Nino is not expected to be strong but still weather patterns will be affected.  The whys and hows of the El Nino phenomenon is the subject of this month's WeatherMania. 


P.S.  All WeatherManias are now online.  Click here to view!

Learn for Tomorrow, 


What is El Nino?

According to NOAA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, "El Niño is a disruption of the ocean-atmosphere system in the Tropical Pacific having important consequences for weather and climate around the globe." 

El Nino is Spanish for "the little boy".  In this case because the conditions that accompany  El Nino are seen around the end of December, the name used is that given in Peru to the "Christ Child". 

Fishermen along the coast of Peru have known for centuries that warm water replaces the normal cooler waters during the first months of every year.  Occasionally, the warm water appears earlier, around Christmastime, and stays longer, for even a year or two.  This change in water temperature also brings rain to the usually arid region.  Sometimes too much.  And the warm waters are not good for fishing.  The cooler, better fishing waters are held away from the coast and fishermen have to go much farther to the west to find the cooler waters that mean good fishing.  Entries about El Nino appear in many ship's logs as early as the 1500's. 

Approximately 25 years ago, climatologists began to correlate the oceanic temperature and wind direction changes with changes in weather

El Nino Event - Red Indicates Warmest Temperatures

patterns over time. They also noticed that there was a definite change back to normal where the waters became cooler and the fish returned to the shores of Peru.  At other times, the water becomes cooler than normal.  Because this phenomenon is somewhat the opposite of the El Nino changes, the time of abnormally cool water has come to be known as La Nina or "little girl".

The El Nino/La Nina phenomenon is known scientifically as ENSO or El Nino- Southern Oscillation.  Warm Trade Winds normally blow east to west across the Southern Pacific. These winds push warm waters westward away from the shores of South America.  This causes the deeper, cold waters underneath to rise to the surface (convection) carrying with them the microscopic plants and animals that fish use as foodsources. The cool waters provide abundant fishing for Peruvian fishermen. During a non El Nino year, the warm waters around Indonesia and Australia rise in both height and temperature causing heavy rains that are normal for the region. Hot air over hot water causes evaporation.  The warm, humid air rises and cools producing clouds and precipitation.  Warmer water and air produce greater amounts of rainfall.

Some years the Trade Winds relax or even move west to east so that warm water is pushed eastward toward South America.  The cool waters do not rise and

Normal Temperatures

Courtesy NOAA

the fish do not come to feed.  This is an El Nino event.  The effects are much farther reaching than just in Peru.  In an El Nino event, the rains occur farther East than normal and may cause flooding. The warm water has been pushed eastward leaving the western Pacific in a drought situation.   In the U.S., temperatures in the winter are warmer than normal in the North Central States, and cooler than normal in the Southeast and the Southwest in an El Nino event.  During La Nina, the cooler waters move farther westward, winter temperatures are warmer than normal in the Southeast and cooler than normal in the Northwest areas of the U.S. 

La Nina Event- Red Indicates Warmest Temperatures

Courtesy NOAA

These events also have an effect on the Hurricane Season which lasts from June through November.  During an El Nino year, the number and intensity of Atlantic and Caribbean hurricanes is diminished.  This year's El Nino is not as strong as the El Nino of 1997 but it has strengthened according to the National Weather Service and is expected to affect the hurricanes in September and October.  This El Nino is predicted to last into early 2003 so we could have a wetter winter in the South, Southwest and the East Coast.  The Upper Midwest could be warmer and the Great Lakes drier than in normal years.  Only time will tell.


Joking About the Weather

Question:  How did you find the weather on your vacation?

Answer:  I just walked outside and there it was!


Weather Activity

Produce your own El Nino Event

When hot air meets hot water?

  1. Fill a cup or glass with cold water and another with hot water.  Not boiling, just hot from the faucet.
  2. Hold one of your hands above each cup or glass.  How does the air above each cup feel?
  3. Leave your hands above the glasses for a minute.  Now feel the palms of your hands.  Does one feel wetter than the other?  Which one?

Conclusions: The air above the glass with the hot water will feel warmer than the air above the cold water.  We see that hot water produces hot air above the water.

You also find that the hand you held above the warm water feels wetter than your other hand.  We see that water molecules from warm water evaporate into the air causing moist, warm air. 

Now think about a huge area of ocean that is so warm that the air above it is heated and becomes moist.  That moist air rises and condenses forming clouds which produce precipitation - sometimes a lot of it.  The tropical Pacific Ocean during an El Nino event acts much the same way.  As the warm water flows eastward into areas that usually have cool water, more rain than usual occurs.


Weather Wizard

Trade Winds  The winds that occupy most of the tropics and blow from the subtropical highs to the equatorial low.

Tropical  The parts of the earth between 20°N and 20°S latitude with very hot and humid conditions and temperatures greater than 65°F and rain most of the year.

Water Vapor  Water in a vapor (gaseous) form; also referred to as atmospheric moisture. Water vapor is one of the most important parts of the atmosphere.


Weather Trivia

An El Nino or ENSO event in the Pacific Ocean causes which of the following conditions?

  1. The number and intensity of Atlantic hurricanes is diminished
  2. Warm water lingers off the Pacific coasts of Peru and Ecuador
  3. Winter temperatures are warmer than normal in the North Central United States
  4. All of the above

Answer:  All of the above.  The effects of El Nino are far-reaching and cause weather events all over the world, not just along the edge of the Pacific.  


Did You Know?

El Nino affects not only the fishing industry, but the fertilizer industry in South America.  When the cold-water zones off the coast of Peru and Ecuador warm during an El Nino event, the fish stay further out to sea. Because of this, the birds who normally feed on these fish leave the area also. Bird guano is an important component of the region's fertilizer industry.


Trainer's Corner

It seemed a good idea to repeat this activity for anyone who may have missed the June issue in which it originally appeared.  This is a great way to approach an El Nino study that could last all year. 

Choose school sites from around the U.S. to complete the table below.  This is a suggestion for setting up a chart to collect weather information for an El Nino study.  Gathering information for this entire school year will give you the best analysis, but you can revise the chart to fit your own study.  You may wish to record the weather information on a monthly basis or even everyday.

Averages/Normal Weather Conditions:

 

Average Precipitation

Avg Temps. (High/Low)

Location

December

January

December

January

Northwest

 

 

 

 

West (California)

 

 

 

 

SouthEast (Florida)

 

 

 

 

SouthWest

 

 

 

 

Upper MidWest (Montana)

 

 

 

 

MidWest (Kansas)

 

 

 

 

Gulf Coast (New Orleans)

 

 

 

 

Great Lakes

 

 

 

 

East Coast

 

 

 

 

If you would like more information about AWS Professional Development , contact Diana at ddell@aws.com.


Tech Corner

Keeping the Weather Station Mast Secure

On June 11th, 2002, after 5 years of hibernation, El Nino once again popped his head out predicting months of unusual weather.  The Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Florida will experience a wetter than normal winter.  There will be more East Coast winter storms and a drier than normal fall and winter in the Pacific Northwest. 

The last El Nino event, in 1997-1998, was responsible for the loss of 189 lives and 2.8 billion dollars in damage.  But El Nino was not entirely negative.  It did result in 6.7 billion dollars saved in reduced heating costs.  Lack of data has made it difficult for scientists to evaluate the enormous effects of El Nino.

For this reason, it’s important to have your weather station properly installed and secured in order to responsibly report through the long months of El Nino conditions. 

As far as maintenance of the weather station itself, there is in reality little that needs to be maintained other than occasionally cleaning the rain gauge.  However, it is a good idea to check that the mast holding the sensors is securely anchored and that the data cable is protected by conduit where it is outside the building. 

With greater technology we will be able to collect sufficient data enhance our understanding of the powerful phenomenon known as El Nino.          

Sunny Days!

Technical Support                                  


If you would like additional technical support information, email support@aws.com .  


Interesting Links       

1.  El Nino
2.  Ship Ka'imimoana

 

Oceanographer

Oceanography is the study of oceans. It involves many areas of science including

physics, chemistry, biology or geology and more recently computers as well as mathematics. There are many different types of oceanographers who study different parts of the ocean and the effect those parts have on each other and our environment on land.

Physical Oceanographers are the Ocean's weathermen and women. They primarily study the physical aspects of the ocean including temperature, density, wave motions, tides, currents and salinity (how salty it is). They also study the relationship between the ocean and the atmosphere and try to predict (based on their findings) the effects these factors will have on our climate. These oceanographers play a large role in studying the phenomena of El Nino and La Nina.

Marine Biologists study the plants and animals that live in the oceans. Chemical Oceanographers study the chemical composition of seawater and its interaction with the atmosphere and the seafloor. A Geological Oceanographer studies the ocean floor and tries to map geological structures like mountains and trenches. A Computer Modeler produces the models, using computer technology, that attempt to demonstrate the physical and chemical changes taking place in the ocean.

Students interested in pursuing a career in oceanography should have a strong math and science background. They should plan on majoring in math or one of the major scientific fields as an undergraduate and then pursuing a Masters Degree or a Doctorate focusing on oceanography. The federal government, colleges and universities and private industries, most often employ oceanographers. Oceanographers can expect to spend much of their time at sea or in a laboratory.

 
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